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- XMAS SALES SLOW... Now What?
XMAS SALES SLOW... Now What?
Sales across key export sectors for us; USA and Europe are struggling...
The performance of Christmas sales has shown signs of weakness in several markets this year. Reports suggest that the holiday season, traditionally a peak time for retail, has not met expectations:
Economic Factors: High inflation and interest rates have affected consumer spending, leading to a more conservative approach to holiday shopping. Consumers are tightening their belts, focusing more on essentials rather than luxury or non-essential items.
Retail Sector Performance: Specific sectors like general merchandise, particularly clothing, have seen declines in sales. Conversely, some areas like food and grocery have maintained or slightly increased spending, although not enough to offset the broader slowdown.
Consumer Behavior: There's been a noted shift towards last-minute shopping, with consumers waiting for better deals or simply spending less due to economic pressures. Online sales growth has slowed, and in-store traffic hasn't picked up as anticipated, further impacting sales figures.
Retail Strategy: Retailers have responded with early promotions and discounts, but even these have not significantly boosted sales. The strategy of starting promotions earlier might have led to premature sales cannibalisation, reducing the effectiveness of traditional holiday sales periods.
Market Sentiment: Posts on X and various reports indicate a general lack of holiday cheer in the retail sector, with some businesses facing potential closures or financial distress due to insufficient sales during this critical period.
Overall, the combination of economic conditions, consumer caution, and strategic retail responses has led to Christmas sales not performing as robustly as in previous years, signalling a challenging time for retailers. Will 2025 be any better?

Kanishk Hingorani, CFA
CEO, Keskan Finance
